CAGR Insights – 15 Sep 2023

CAGR Insights is a weekly newsletter full of insights from around the world of web.

Index15-Sep-238-Sep-23Change
Nifty 5020,19219,8201.88%
Nifty 50017,66617,4871.02%
Nifty Midcap 50 11,63611,647-0.10%
Nifty Smallcap 10012,79412,812-0.14%

Chart Ki Baat

Cost of veg and non-veg thalis up 24% and 13%, respectively, yoy in August.
Courtesy: CRISIL

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Gyaan Ki Baat

What exactly are LiquidBees? LiquidBees represent an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) exclusively dedicated to investments in the overnight money market. This offers a remarkably high level of safety but also ensures exceptional liquidity.

Each day, the LiquidBees ETF disburses a dividend based on the interest income it generates, with the specific goal of maintaining its Net Asset Value (NAV) at Rs. 1000. It’s essential to be aware that this dividend distribution is subject to the Dividend Distribution Tax and is automatically reinvested in the form of additional “units.”

This approach offers a convenient means to securely park your funds with your brokerage while also earning interest. Additionally, LiquidBees can be effectively used to support trading margins and is widely recognized as an equivalent to holding cash.

However, it’s worth noting that if your applicable taxable rate falls below 30%, you may find Liquid Mutual Funds to be a more favorable option compared to LiquidBees.

Here’s the list of curated readings for you this week:

Personal Finance

  • Mistakes that compound in market It’s generally wise investment behavior to ignore short-term performance since long-term returns are the only ones that matter. But at some point you have to benchmark your performance in some way. Read here

  • Investors need to understand the difference in risk avoidance and risk control – In fact, not having any losers isn’t a useful goal. The only sure way to achieve that is by not taking any risk. But, as I said earlier, risk avoidance is likely to result in return avoidance. There’s such a thing as the risk of taking too little risk. Most people understand this intellectually, but human nature makes it hard for many to accept the idea that the willingness to live with some losses is an essential ingredient in investment success. Read here.

  • Citadel’s three-decade run reflects the founder’s convictions about when to take risk – and how to manage it – We’d made a strategic decision that we would rather shrink the firm to a smaller base of longer-term capital – more stable capital – than be at risk of hot money flying out when markets really have a moment of turmoil. Opportunities arise in such moments Read here.

Investing

  • The valuations of most major sectors are trading higher than their long-term average. – So, in the near term, investors should expect the equity returns to be subdued. But, the medium-term and long-term scenario for Indian equities remains positive, boosted by several factors i.e. strong macro fundamentals, strong corporate balance sheets, and peaking of the interest rate cycle.  Read here

  • We are at a dangerous point in the Behavioural Cycle for Small and Micro Caps – Small and Micro Caps have more pronounced cycles due to poor liquidity. Thin trading volumes result in stock prices highly influenced by demand supply mismatches on the way up, and even more brutally on the way down. Hence, Small Caps require very long-term horizons and a huge tolerance for volatility. Read here.

  • The Explosive Ascent of Southern India – Per capita income for seven ‘southern’ states (Tamil Nadu, Telangana, Andhra, Kerala, Karnataka, Goa, and Maharashtra) has grown at an average 10% CAGR between FY14-22. These states, which account for 30% of India’s population and 45% of India’s GDP, now have an average per capita income of ~Rs 2.7 lakhs ($3,300), 50% higher than that of the Rest of India. This will have investment implications. Read here.

Economy

  • Unfair to judge private capex because it’s still at very early stages of recovery: Morgan Stanley – If you see the private sector balance sheets of the corporate sector, corporate debt-to-GDP is at a 16-year low, so balance sheets are in pristine position. Similarly, for the financial sector, banks’ impaired loans are tracking at 11-to-12-year lows. Again, their ability to fund and willingness to lend, is high and those are very important cyclical factors which will help improve this capex trend. Read here.

  • India’s industrial output grew by 5.7 per cent in July from 3.8 percent in June. – IIP exceeded pre-Covid levels by ~8% in July 2023 even as the consumer durables segment lagged Read here.

  • Russia’s exclusion to give India more play in bond index – Odds are shortening that Indian sovereign debt will be included in JP Morgan’s emerging market bond index after this month’s scheduled rebalancing of the gauge seeks to fill the vacuum created by Russia’s exclusion, potentially lowering borrowing costs in the world’s fastest-expanding major economy. Read here.

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Check out CAGRwealth smallcase portfolios here.

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That’s it from our side. Have a great weekend ahead!

If you have any feedback that you would like to share, simply reply to this email.

The content of this newsletter is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information outlined in this newsletter unless mentioned explicitly. The writer may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated in this newsletter.

CAGR Insights – 8 Sep 2023

CAGR Insights is a weekly newsletter full of insights from around the world of web.

Index8-Sep-231-Sep-23Change
Nifty 5019,82019,4351.98%
Nifty 50017,48717,0752.42%
Nifty Midcap 50 11,64711,2613.43%
Nifty Smallcap 10012,81212,3863.44%

Chart Ki Baat

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Bazaar Ki Baat

India Inc. Q1FY24 performance decoded

In the 11th edition of “Bazaar ki baat”, we discuss what moved the market in August, sectoral performance, a review of Q1FY24 earnings, and the significance of the rule of 72 in personal finance.

Watch here.

Here’s the list of curated readings for you this week:

Personal Finance

  • India’s Richest 2023 list This year’s roster of India’s dollar billionaires is a reaffirmation that the growth story is not ephemeral but perpetual. Mumbai and Delhi together account for ₹41.56 lakh crore (60%) of the Fortune India-Waterfield Advisors listing, followed by Bengaluru, Chennai and Ahmedabad. Interestingly, there are 18 smaller towns and cities that have a dollar billionaire each. Read here

  • What Is UPI ATM? Card-less Cash Withdrawal ATM Unveiled At Global Fintech Fest – The UPI-only ATM significantly enhances customer security by eliminating the need for physical cards. Read here.

  • God’s Own Wealth In a rare instance, the Tirumala Tirupati Devasthanams (TTD), which runs the temple of Lord Venkateswara at Tirumala (an incarnation of Supreme God Maha Vishnu), disclosed assets in November last year — around ₹2.5 lakh crore in cash and gold deposits in banks, donations from devotees and land and buildings. Read here

  • Sebi keen to introduce fractional ownership in India – The concept is already permitted in the US and many Indian investors have bought fractional shares of popular companies like Apple, Meta and Alphabet Read here.

  • Decoding the SEBI consultation paper on regulating financial influencers – Zerodha – If somebody really knows how to make money, why will they share it with somebody else? it’s logic 101. By definition, almost all of them are either snake oil salesmen or they’re just outright frauds. Read here.

Investing

  • Uday Kotak resigns as Kotak bank MD and CEO 4 months ahead of end of tenure. Pens a heartfelt letter to board. Full text here.

  • Foreigners snap up India stocks while fleeing most EMs in August  – Indian equities stood out in August as foreign investors sold stocks in almost every other Asian emerging market, thanks to the nation’s strong corporate earnings performance and its growing appeal as an alternative to China.  Read here

  • Falling WPI, easing goods CPI and corporate margins – The sustained fall in Wholesale Price inflation in the last few months has resulted in gross margin improvements across corporates. Read here.

  • Car makers eye best-ever festival season with record dispatches – Festival season, which traditionally starts with Onam in Kerala and runs till Diwali, accounts for around 25% of the annual passenger vehicle sales in the country. Read here.

Economy

  • IMD’s rainfall forecast for Sep 2023 implies below normal monsoon at the end of the season – Rainfall was deficient at 64% of LPA in Aug 2023, , sharply weaker than the IMD’s projection of below normal rainfall (<94% of LPA). Watch here.

  • Social welfare spend of states to hit a decadal high this fiscal – Spending on social welfare schemes by the top 11 Indian states1 – accounting for 75-80% of aggregate gross state domestic product (GSDP) – is expected to reach a decadal high of over 1.7% of GSDP, or ~Rs 4 lakh crore, according to the budget estimates (BE) of these states for fiscal 2024. Read here.

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Check out CAGRwealth smallcase portfolios here.

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That’s it from our side. Have a great weekend ahead!

If you have any feedback that you would like to share, simply reply to this email.The content of this newsletter is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information outlined in this newsletter unless mentioned explicitly. The writer may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated in this newsletter.

CAGR Insights – 1 Sep 2023

CAGR Insights is a weekly newsletter full of insights from around the world of web.

Index1-Sep-2325-Aug-23Change
Nifty 5019,43519,2660.88%
Nifty 50017,07516,8211.51%
Nifty Midcap 50 11,26111,0222.17%
Nifty Smallcap 10012,38611,8694.36%

Chart Ki Baat

Source: https://twitter.com/hktg13/status/1696827226552254751?s=20

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Gyaan Ki Baat

Information Ratio

An assessment of portfolio returns above those of a benchmark, often an index, in relation to the volatility of such returns is called the information ratio (IR). It is a risk-adjusted measure of active management performance. Usually, an index that reflects the market, a specific sector, or an entire industry serves as the benchmark.
The IR is frequently used to gauge a portfolio manager’s level of expertise and capacity to produce excess returns in comparison to a benchmark; but, by including a standard deviation or tracking error, component in the calculation, it also makes an effort to determine the consistency of the performance.

Here’s the list of curated readings for you this week:

Personal Finance

  • The evolution of retirement – You also only have one shot at retirement planning. There are no mulligans. Leisure itself is still a relatively new concept for humanity that’s only been around for a few generations. Read here

  • Tracking Difference and Tracking Error: What Every Investor Needs to Know – In the replication process of Index, several practical challenges can prevent the passive fund from achieving the same return as the benchmark resulting in a slight deviation. These deviations in the returns are measured in terms of tracking difference & tracking error. Read here.

  • Phonepe forays into stockbroking – Discount broking app Share(dot)Market is available as a mobile app and a web platform. Read here.

Investing

  • Toys for Billionaires: Sports Franchises as Trophy Assets!-  In many ways, sports franchises are the ultimate trophy assets, since they are scarce and owning them not only allows you to live out your childhood dreams, but also gives you a chance to indulge your friends and family, with front-row seats and player introductions. Read here.

  • Identifying Multibaggers & Top Stocks & Sectors In Focus – Vijay Kedia – “If you find a theme, then stay invested,” Kedia said, advising investors to stay in a sunrise industry at any cost and stay out of a sunset industry at any cost. Watch here

  • STOIC Podcast with Prabhakar Kudva – Prabhakar Kudva is the co-founder and director at Samvitti Capital. He is a successful long-only growth investor. In this episode of Stoic Talks, we will delve deeper into his two separate investing buckets, stock selection, allocation process, and how he has built setups around structural tendencies like momentum, mean-reversion, smallcap, exhaustion etc that are present in the market. Watch here

  • Banks’ Margin Trajectory Sees Strain in Q1 as Deposits Cost Rise Sequentially – Net Interest Income (NII) of Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs) grew by 26.5% year-on-year (y-o-y) to Rs. 1.84 lakh crore in Q1FY24 due to healthy loan growth and a higher yield on advances over the year-ago period. Read here.

Economy

  • Ray Dalio’s country index highlights India’s upward trajectory – Billionaire investor and hedge fund manager Ray Dalio has foreseen India achieving a growth rate of roughly 7% over the succeeding 10 years. Read here.

  • Will Licence On PC Imports Harm IT Firms, GCCs Or Will Domestic Cos Swiftly Grab The Opportunity? – From Nov laptop, PC imports will need a licence. Will this harm IT cos, GCCs and business in general? Or will domestic cos swiftly grab the opportunity? Bain India’s M Chawla, Counterpoint’s Tarun Pathak, Nasscom’s A Aggarwal, Dixon’s S Gupta discuss with Latha Venkatesh. Watch here.

  • Why the rural economy isn’t out of the woods yet Despite a recent uptick in demand, the signs of stress in India’s hinterlands are hard to rub off. Read here.

  • India’s beach paradise Goa is overrun with digital nomads – Rents are up, startups are setting up all over the state, but locals can’t get jobs easily. Read here.

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Check out CAGRwealth smallcase portfolios here.

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That’s it from our side. Have a great weekend ahead!

If you have any feedback that you would like to share, simply reply to this email.

The content of this newsletter is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information outlined in this newsletter unless mentioned explicitly. The writer may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated in this newsletter.

CAGR Insights – 25 Aug 2023

CAGR Insights is a weekly newsletter full of insights from around the world of web.

Index25-Aug-2318-Aug-23Change
Nifty 5019,26619,310-0.23%
Nifty 50016,82116,7580.38%
Nifty Midcap 50 11,02210,8241.82%
Nifty Smallcap 10011,86911,6831.59%

Chart Ki Baat
An Indian spacecraft became the first to land on the rugged, unexplored south pole of the moon

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Gyaan Ki Baat

When an investor sells units of an equity fund in the stock exchange or offers them for repurchase to the fund, he will have to incur Securities Transaction Tax (STT) i.e., STT is applicable only on redemption/switch to other schemes/sale of units of equity oriented mutual funds whether sold on stock exchange or otherwise. STT is not applicable on purchase of units of an equity scheme. It is also not applicable to transactions in debt securities or debt mutual fund schemes. The applicable rate of STT is 0.001%.

Here’s the list of curated readings for you this week:

Personal Finance

  • Intelligent vs Smart – If you’re merely intelligent, you might focus all of your effort on finding precise truth. If you’re smart, you’ll focus just as much effort on delivering an effective message around that truth, realizing that the most powerful truth does no good if you can’t get people to pay attention to it. Read here

  • India’s Rising Prosperity – Prime Minister writes on LinkedIn analysing the ITR data.  Read here

  • Mutual Funds investor might have to pay extra for direct plans after SEBI’s this decision- Direct plan expenses should be defined by actual expenses incurred, and not by how much brokerage is paid in regular plans. Read here.

  • Small Savings Collection Boost Could Reduce Government Borrowings This Fiscal – Top contributors to government’s savings have been the Senior Citizen Savings Scheme and the newly launched Mahila Samman Patra. Read here.

Investing

  • What is momentum and why does it persists? – For a momentum factor practitioner like us, Mr Wesley Gray of Alpha Architect is one of the must-reads for understanding the academic roots of factor investing from a practitioner standpoint and even more importantly in debunking the myths which surround momentum investing. Read here.

  • Q1 Results Review: Earnings growth continues even as revenue slows; margins rescue The performance of India Inc. in the June quarter was highlighted by strong net profit growth with tepid rise in topline. Easing input costs supported margin expansion for most sectors during Q1FY24. Read here

  • SEBI Unravels How Brightcom Group Cooked Its Books – The Securities and Exchange Board of India’s interim order barred Chief Executive Officer Suresh Kumar Reddy and Chief Financial Officer Narayana Raju from company boards. The regulator also restrained 22 other entities, including investor Shankar Sharma, from disposing of the company’s shares. Read here

Economy

  • India inflation to return to comfort band once veg price shock ebbs – MPC’s Goyal- The spike in prices of items like tomatoes has been “unprecedented” but normally there is a seasonal softening in vegetables after a shock (price spike), said Ashima Goyal, an external member of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) committee, in an interview with Reuters late on Thursday. Read here.

  • Startups Riding Digital Infrastructure Could Transform Indian Economy- India emerged as the fourth-most popular destination for startups in the world in 2022, attracting 4.2% of global venture capital, behind the US (41%), mainland China (18%) and the UK (6%), according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Read here.

  • The rise of Municipal bonds in India – 4 cities in UP are getting ready to launch something called municipal bonds. Kanpur, Prayagraj, Agra, and Varanasi want around ₹500 crores from the public. They want to improve their water supply facilities.Read here.

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Check out CAGRwealth smallcase portfolios here.

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That’s it from our side. Have a great weekend ahead!

If you have any feedback that you would like to share, simply reply to this email.

The content of this newsletter is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information outlined in this newsletter unless mentioned explicitly. The writer may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated in this newsletter.