Author: Kshitiz Jain

CAGR Insights is a weekly newsletter full of insights from around the world of web.

Chart Ki Baat

Source: Anker capital management

Gyaan Ki Baat 

Life actually is quite long in the grand scheme of things; we just don’t use our time wisely. When we dream, we often dream in years and forget about the decades. A year feels short yet a decade is a profound a period of time. You can do a lot in a decade. We overestimate what we can do in a year and underestimate what we can do in a decade.

Dream in decades. A year away can be forecasted, but a decade can’t. You can do anything you want in a decade if you work towards it. So, expand your horizons and think where you want to be in ten years. The possibilities are endless, then take the actions needed today to get one tiny step closer.

When you dream that far in the future, your ambition can grow in orders of magnitude. You don’t constrain yourself, because literally anything is possible in that time frame. We don’t zoom out enough. We are often laser-focused on what is in front of us and don’t take the time to look at things from broader perspective.

So, take time to think that far in the future. What person do you want to be? What do you want to be doing? It’s exhilarating to reflect upon. You can master skills, leave your mark on the world, and totally uproot your life. It’s thrilling.

Forget about the short term. Set yourself up for the long term.

Imagine the possibilities and always keep them in mind. Today may feel like slog or you may not have done what you wanted so far this year. Incrementally improve. Zoom out. You can do anything as long as you keep the decades in mind. Keep dreaming.

Author: Tyler Bruno

Here’s the list of curated readings for you this week:

Personal Finance

• A Few Little Ideas And Short Stories: Success depends on substance over style. Quality products, genuine focus, and deep understanding of customers are essential. Avoid hype and short-term thinking. Learn from history’s lessons: the value of hard work, the dangers of unchecked optimism, and the importance of long-term perspective. True success often lies in overlooked areas, requiring resilience and patience. Read here

• Share buyback tax regime to change from October 1: What this means for you? There will be significant changes to India’s share buyback tax regime from October 1, 2024. The new rules will shift the tax burden from companies to shareholders, fundamentally altering the landscape for buyback strategies. Read here

• Should young earners repay loans first before they start investing? Is paying off debt or investing your money the smarter move? This is an age-old financial dilemma faced by young earners. An insightful piece that explores the financial challenges faced by young earners. Read here

Investing

• At the Money: The Right and Wrong Way to Approach Investing: Investing is not easy. How do you pick the correct asset class? Which sectors do you buy? How do you know which are the right stocks or bonds to own? Do you use leverage? Do you hedge? Do you time? What about private equity, hedge funds, venture capital? Read here

• Talk on Floats: Float is essentially customer money held by a company before it’s used. Companies with strong moats often generate large floats due to their market power. This float can be used to fund operations, invest in growth, or simply earn interest. Examples include Costco’s membership fees, bank deposits, and upfront payments in various industries. Read here

• MF investors rush into ‘hot sectors’, draw caution: Thematic and sector schemes have received more than half of the investor money into equity mutual funds in the past three months thanks to a slew of product launches. Read here

Economy

• ‘A major shift in consumer preferences towards larger homes’, says Anarock report: The average flat sizes in India’s top seven cities have surged by 32% over the past five years, with the National Capital Region (NCR) witnessing a significant 96% growth, the Anarock Group said in the latest report. Read here

• Fishing in a Very Large Pond: India’s burgeoning market cap is a reflection of its rapid economic growth. The country’s GDP is on a trajectory to surpass major economies, driving corporate earnings and market capitalization higher. While market cap to GDP ratios can be misleading, the overall trend suggests a vast investment opportunity.Read here

• CPI Inflation in July Declines To 3.54%, Lowest Since August 2019; IIP Grows 4.2% in June: Inflation in India’s consumer prices eased to a nearly five-year low of 3.54% in July, with food price rise moderating to 5.4% from a six-month high of 9.4% in June, thanks to base effects from last July when retail inflation stood at 7.4% and the food index was up 11.5%.Read here

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Check out CAGRwealth smallcase portfolios

Both our smallcase portfolios are ranking well in the smallcase universe in terms of 1-year returns.

• CFF (launched in June 2022) – Ranked among Top 20 smallcase with medium volatility.

• CVM (launched in May 2022) – Ranked among Top 40 across the smallcase universe.

Do check it out here

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That’s it from our side. Have a great weekend ahead!

If you have any feedback that you would like to share, simply reply to this email.

The content of this newsletter is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information outlined in this newsletter unless mentioned explicitly. The writer may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated in this newsletter.

CAGR Insights is a weekly newsletter full of insights from around the world of web.

Chart Ki Baat

Gyaan Ki Baat  

Sector Rotation

Sector Rotation involves shifting investment capital between different stock market sectors based on economic cycle stages. As the economy moves through expansion, peak, contraction, and trough, sectors perform differently. For instance, technology and consumer discretionary sectors often excel during expansion, while defensive sectors like utilities and healthcare tend to do better in downturns. Investors use this strategy to capitalize on these changes by reallocating funds from underperforming sectors to those expected to benefit from current conditions. This approach aims to enhance returns and manage risk by aligning investments with the prevailing economic environment.

Here’s the list of curated readings for you this week:

Personal Finance

• Relief for real estate under LTCG regime: Govt to allow taxpayers to avail either lower rate of 12.5 percent without indexation or higher 20 percent rate with indexation if property acquired prior to July 23, 2024. Read here
  
• Sustainability is the only path: Sustainability is important in various aspects of life, such as dieting, exercise, and investing. Temporary solutions often lead to failure, as they are not maintainable in the long run. Sustainable strategies are crucial for long-term success. Rather than chasing quick gains or trendy stocks, investors should focus on a disciplined approach that aligns with their goals and risk tolerance. Read here
  
• Why it’s Hard to Create the first Rs 1 CR? Let’s face it, saving a crore isn’t child’s play. This page spills the beans on why it’s tougher than it seems. It’s all about breaking bad spending habits and smart saving moves. Read here

Investing

• BoJ’s Uchida: We won’t hike rates when markets are unstable: Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida expressed his view on the bank’s interest rate outlook, exchange value and the current market volatility. Read here

• Bonds: 10-year Treasury yield dives to the lowest since December after weak jobs report: U.S. Treasury yields slid after a weaker-than-expected jobs report for last month added to fears that economic growth is slowing. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury was last at 3.796%, down more than 17 basis points. Earlier, yields hit a low of 3.790%, the lowest level since December 2023. Read here
  
• Why bond yields matter for equities: Poor economic news and corporate performance caused a sharp decline in stock prices. Surprisingly, this led to a significant increase in bond prices (lower yields). Understanding the future relationship between stocks and bonds is crucial for investors. Read here
  
• FTSE Russell unlikely to include Indian bonds in index as concerns over ratings, taxation remain: Global index provider FTSE Russell is unlikely to include Indian bonds in its government bond index as concerns over India’s ratings and taxation remains, market experts close to the development said. Read here

• Post-FOMC Update: The Fed and the Market Shifts: Central banks shifted gears this week. Japan tightened monetary policy while the US Fed prioritized job growth. Recent weak job data raised recession fears but overall aligns with the Fed’s view of a cooling labor market. Read here

Economy

• Piyush Goyal asks leather sector to aim $50 billion in exports by 2030: Union Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal on August 8 asked the country’s leather and footwear industry to target $50 billion in exports by 2030. He also asked the industry to take advantage of various free trade agreements (FTAs) signed by India and focus on manufacturing world class products to tap global markets. Read Here
  
• RBI focuses on aligning CPI with target amid resilient domestic growth: The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided by 4:2 majority to keep the repo rate unchanged at 6.5 percent, in line with expectations. The MPC also decided by a majority of 4 out of 6 members to remain focused on withdrawal of accommodation to ensure that inflation aligns with the 4 percent target, while supporting growth. Read here

• Govt. of India on track to reduce fiscal deficit: Fitch Fitch Ratings on Friday exuded confidence that the Government of India should be able to achieve its enhanced goal of reducing the fiscal deficit to 4.9% of GDP this year, and further below 4.5% of GDP next year, but noted that the post-election Budget did not provide much clarity on medium-term targets. Read here

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Check out CAGRwealth smallcase portfolios

Both our smallcase portfolios are ranking well in the smallcase universe in terms of 1-year returns.

• CFF (launched in June 2022) – Ranked among Top 20 smallcase with medium volatility.

• CVM (launched in May 2022) – Ranked among Top 40 across the smallcase universe.

Do check it out here

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That’s it from our side. Have a great weekend ahead!

If you have any feedback that you would like to share, simply reply to this email.

The content of this newsletter is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information outlined in this newsletter unless mentioned explicitly. The writer may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated in this newsletter.

CAGR Insights is a weekly newsletter full of insights from around the world of web.

Chart Ki Baat

Gyaan Ki Baat  

Behavioural Finance: Your Money, Your Mind

We often say, “Money is money, what’s there to think about?” But the truth is, we treat our money the same way we treat other aspects of our lives. Our thoughts, feelings, and habits dictate how we handle our finances. This is called behavioural finance – understanding how your thoughts, feelings, and habits influence your financial decisions.

Loss Aversion: Losing ₹1000 feels worse than earning ₹1000. This is why we often avoid risks.

Herd Mentality: If everyone is buying, we buy too. If everyone is selling, we sell. But this isn’t always right. Every investment is different.

Overconfidence: We think we can beat the market. But the reality is, very few people can.

Anchoring: We stick to old prices. If you bought a share for ₹100 and it’s now ₹200, you might think it’s expensive, even if it’s actually cheap.

Before making a financial decision, it’s essential to step back and assess your motivations. Are your choices driven by fear, greed, or a well-considered plan? Remember, your financial well-being is the result of your hard work and careful planning.

Build a good relationship with your money!

Here’s the list of curated readings for you this week:

Personal Finance

• ITR filing deadline: Who can file income tax return after July 31, 2024? A late fee of ₹1,000 will be charged to individuals whose annual salary is less than ₹5 lakh, and a late fee of ₹5,000 will be imposed on those whose annual salary exceeds ₹5 lakh. The deadline for filing ITRs has been extended to October 31, 2024, for individuals and businesses whose accounts require auditing. Read here

• RBI’s new rules for two-factor authentication of digital payments; Check alternative methods proposed: In order to allow the ecosystem to use different forms of authentication, the RBI has announced a draft on “Framework on Alternative Authentication Mechanisms for Digital Payment Transactions”. Read here
  
  
• Why it’s Hard to Create the first Rs 1 CR? Let’s face it, saving a crore isn’t child’s play. This page spills the beans on why it’s tougher than it seems. It’s all about breaking bad spending habits and smart saving moves. Read here

Investing

• The Intelligent Investor Small stocks are having a moment, outshining their larger counterparts. This shift away from big tech companies has investors buzzing. While its exciting, experts warn against getting carried away. The article also highlights the importance of smart investing and being cautious about hyped-up technologies like AI. Read here
  
  
• Crypto absurdity: WazirX plan to socialise losses deeply flawed: WazirX is under fire for its plan to share the losses from a recent hack among all its users. Critics argue that this is unfair and that the exchange should bear the responsibility for the security breach. Read here
  
  
• Joel Greenblatt: Is Stock Market Investing Right for Your Personality Type? Joel Greenblatt argues that investing is like sailing. It’s not just about reaching a destination (financial goal), but enjoying the journey. The key to successful investing is finding pleasure in the process. Read here

Economy

• Heatwaves Push India’s Global Electricity Demand to New Highs: It’s super-hot outside, right? Well, everyone’s turning up their air conditioners to stay cool. This is causing a big spike in electricity use. It’s like a whole bunch of people are hogging the power at once! Read Here
    
• Factory activity maintains solid growth in July, PMI shows: India’s manufacturing activity expanded at a solid pace in July thanks to continued robust demand, according to a survey that also showed cost pressures were high as prices charged to clients rose at the steepest rate in over a decade. Read here

• Why is the Indian Economy Resilient Even Amid a Global Slowdown? India’s economy is bucking the global trend with impressive growth. Despite a worldwide slowdown, India’s GDP surged 8.2% in FY24, making it the fastest-growing major economy. Read here

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Check out CAGRwealth smallcase portfolios

Both our smallcase portfolios are ranking well in the smallcase universe in terms of 1-year returns.

• CFF (launched in June 2022) – Ranked among Top 20 smallcase with medium volatility.

• CVM (launched in May 2022) – Ranked among Top 40 across the smallcase universe.

Do check it out here

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That’s it from our side. Have a great weekend ahead!

If you have any feedback that you would like to share, simply reply to this email.

The content of this newsletter is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information outlined in this newsletter unless mentioned explicitly. The writer may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated in this newsletter.

CAGR Insights is a weekly newsletter full of insights from around the world of web.

Chart Ki Baat

Gyaan Ki Baat  

What is an Economic Moat?

An Economic Moat is a concept in business and investing that refers to a sustainable competitive advantage that allows a company to protect its market share and maintain healthy profitability for an extended period of time. Economic Moat and Competitive Advantage and High Entry Barriers are essentially identical.

Professor Michael Porter calls barriers to market entry that a business may have as ‘sustainable competitive advantage’. He says, “We have to have a business with come inherent characteristics that give it a durable competitive advantage”.

Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger call them ‘economic moat’. Buffett puts is as, “The key to investing is not assessing how much an industry is going to affect society, or how much it will grow, but rather determining the competitive advantage of any given company and, above all, the durability of that advantage. The products or services that have wide, sustainable moats around them are the ones that deliver rewards to investors”

Here’s the list of curated readings for you this week:

Personal Finance

• Why Lifestyle Creep is Mostly a Myth: Lifestyle creep. Keeping up with the Joneses. Raising your spending after an increase in your income. No matter what you call it, lifestyle creep is one of the most talked about topics in personal finance. And you won’t find a shortage of financial gurus warning you against the dangers of it. But is lifestyle creep a real concern for most people? Read here

• Union Budget 2024: Here’s How It Affects Your Finances: The Union Budget 2024-25 outlines several measures impacting personal finances. The new tax regime introduces revised income tax rates, while other changes include new EPFO-linked schemes and the elimination of angel tax. Read here

• Which financial tool is most suitable for different types of emergencies? When unexpected costs pop up, are you ready to roll with the punches? Emergency funds, credit cards, and personal loans are your financial superheroes. Knowing your options empowers you to choose the right financial weapon for any battle.Read here

• Decoded: What Budget 2024 means for the middle-class, investors, and more:

India’s recent budget aims to stimulate economic growth and job creation. It includes tax changes affecting individuals and businesses, with a focus on the middle class. Investments in infrastructure and social programs are also highlighted. Read here

Investing

• A Top Pension Fund Wants to Bet Bigger on India. What’s Stopping It? APG, a huge company that handles people’s retirement savings, is interested in putting more money into India. India is growing fast, but APG is worried about some risks. They like the idea of investing in Indian businesses directly, rather than buying stocks. Other big investors are already putting lots of money into India. Read here

• Holding Period for REITs Reduced to 12 Months from 36 Months to Qualify as Long-Term Assets: The 2024-25 Union Budget revised the holding period for long-term capital gains. While previously, investments in listed financial assets like stocks and REITs required a three-year holding period, the new rules shorten this to one year. Read here

• What is margin of safety and why do you need it? Margin of safety is like buying something on sale, but for stocks. It means buying a stock at a price lower than what you think it’s truly worth. This extra cushion protects your money if the stock price drops. Read here

• Indian Households Embrace Equity, Funds: A New Era of Investing: Indian households are shifting investment habits. While bank deposits still dominate, there’s a sharp rise in equity, mutual funds, insurance, and pension investments. Total financial wealth has surged, boosted by both asset price gains and new savings. Importantly, increasing debt is balanced by growing assets, keeping the household leverage ratio stable. Read here

Economy

• India’s Changed — and Changing — Equity Markets: India’s equity market has emerged as a key indicator of global economic changes post-COVID-19. Its increasing weight in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, reaching a record 20% in June 2024, has significantly benefited investors. This growth underscores India’s growing global influence. Read Here   

• Economic Survey 2024: Indian economy grows over 7% for a 3rd consecutive year; 10 key highlights: India’s real GDP grew by 8.2 per cent in FY24, posting growth of over 7 per cent for a third consecutive year, driven by stable consumption demand and steadily improving investment demand. Read Here

• Improving access to finance for MSMEs is key to a $5-trillion Indian economy: MSMEs are the backbone of India’s economy, powering growth, employment, and exports. These small businesses are crucial for reducing income disparities and industrializing rural areas. As key drivers of economic progress, MSMEs are instrumental in realizing India’s vision of a developed ‘Viksit Bharat’ by 2047. Read here

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Check out CAGRwealth smallcase portfolios

Both our smallcase portfolios are ranking well in the smallcase universe in terms of 1-year returns.

• CFF (launched in June 2022) – Ranked among Top 20 smallcase with medium volatility.

• CVM (launched in May 2022) – Ranked among Top 40 across the smallcase universe.

Do check it out here

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That’s it from our side. Have a great weekend ahead!

If you have any feedback that you would like to share, simply reply to this email.

The content of this newsletter is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information outlined in this newsletter unless mentioned explicitly. The writer may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated in this newsletter.