CAGR Insights – 2 Jun 2023

CAGR Insights is a weekly newsletter full of insights from around the world of web.

Index02-Jun-2326-May-23Change
Nifty 5018,53418,4990.19%
Nifty 50015,81115,6960.73%
Nifty Midcap 50 9,6309,4282.14%
Nifty Smallcap 10010,32110,0103.11%

Chart Ki Baat

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Gyaan Ki Baat

Commodity funds include investment in commodities such as petroleum, gold, silver. They generate returns based on the price movements of the underlying commodities same as equity mutual funds generate returns base on their underlying equity assets.

These funds offer diversification benefits and act as an inflation hedge in times of turmoil (Ex: gold mutual funds). These could be a better alternative than holding physical commodities. Although the fund manager has more expertise in dealing with commodities, one should keep in mind that commodities typically have a much larger cycle than equities. Some funds might invest in certain commodity futures which increase the added risk.

Here’s the list of curated readings for you this week:

Personal Finance

  • NPS – An excellent way to secure your retirement –  Comparing the NPS to an alternative instrument with a 2 percent annual charge, assuming both offer an 8 percent annual growth rate (conservative estimate) after 30 years, NPS accumulates around 1.6 to 1.7 times more than the alternative Read here.
  • Sebi fee review to make a big dent in MFs’ profits – The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) may negatively impact India’s mutual fund sector with its proposal to review total expense ratio (TER) regulations, according to brokerage Nuvama. Read here.

Investing

  • A profit boom is coming – Morgan Stanley Report: The share of profits in GDP has doubled from all-time lows hit in 2020 and are set to rise further – maybe even double from here – leading to strong absolute and relative earnings. This explains India’s apparently rich headline equity valuations. Triggered by supply-side reforms by the government, we expect a major rise in investments, a moderation in the CAD and an increase in credit to GDP to support the coming profit growth. Read here
  • Investing in broad indices may give a false sense of diversification – investors in the S&P 500 Index may think they are getting exposure to a diversified basket of 500 companies. But today, the top 10 mega-cap companies in the index account for almost 35% of its entire market capitalization. Read here.
  • Credit profiles of microfinanciers to strengthen this fiscal – Assets under management (AUM) of non-banking financial company-microfinance institutions (NBFC-MFIs) is set to grow 25-30% this fiscal amid improving asset quality and continued traction in economic activity. Read here

Economy

  • India’s unemployment problem – India will need to create 70 million new jobs over the next 10 years, wrote Pranjul Bhandari, chief India economist at HSBC, in a note earlier this month. But only 24 million will likely be created, leaving behind “46 million missing jobs.” Read here
  • Investment more than consumption leading India’s economic growth – A surge in investments that offset sluggish consumption to boost India’s growth in 2022-23 is expected to power the economy in the current financial year as the government pushes ahead with massive capital expenditure plans, economists said. Read here.
  • FY2023 fiscal deficit of Rs. 17.3 trillion restricted within revised target – Non-tax revenues overshot FY2023 RE by Rs. 244 billion, offsetting the shortfall in disinvestment receipts Read here.
  • US Congress averts historic default, approves debt-limit suspension- The Treasury Department had warned it would be unable to pay all its bills on June 5 if Congress failed to act by then Read here.

Now avail Loan against your MF investments Do reach out to us for any queries.

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Check out CAGRwealth smallcase portfolios here.

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That’s it from our side. Have a great weekend ahead!

If you have any feedback that you would like to share, simply reply to this email.

The content of this newsletter is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information outlined in this newsletter unless mentioned explicitly. The writer may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated in this newsletter.

CAGR Insights – 26 May 2023

CAGR Insights is a weekly newsletter full of insights from around the world of web.

Index26-May-2319-May-23Change
Nifty 5018,49918,2031.63%
Nifty 50015,69615,4071.88%
Nifty Midcap 50 9,4289,1762.75%
Nifty Smallcap 10010,0109,8911.20%

Chart Ki Baat

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Here’s the list of curated readings for you this week:

Personal Finance 

  • If you can’t catch ’em, join their Signal groups first, feels Sebi – Market’s regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) is using the oldest trick in policing book to catch new-age crooks on encrypted messaging platforms, said two people with direct knowledge of the matter. Read here 
  • Expectation’s debt – What do you call the top-of-the-world status Amazon had in 2021? Was it a gift? A reward for hard work? The natural swings of capitalism? Read here
     
  • Shruti shares her experience with clients and their investment journey Read here 
     
  • Which MF categories will be affected by SEBI’s TER proposals – Fisdom Research put out a report on the Sebi expense ratio paper? Where will the axe fall? What will get cheaper? Read here 

Investing 

  • The Great Disconnect between how aspirants learn from the best in normal domains vs in stock markets. Read here 
  • Investors Should Sell All Midcaps in India – Investors should consider selling mid-cap stocks, as a lack of liquidity is unhealthy for the sector, according to JPMorgan’s Sanjay Mookim. Read here 
     
  • 4 Insights from Rajeev Thakkar – Chief Investment Officer of PPFAS Mutual Fund, shares his insights over Parag Parikh Flexi Cap on completing 10 years. Read here 
     
  • Rainbow Children’s Medicare Limited – Read about India’s leading paediatric and obstetrics hospital chain and have a peek at our investment thought process. Read here 

Economy 

  • Impact on liquidity due to RBI transfer – While RBI’s liquidity framework entails managing weighted average overnight rate, there appears to be an implicit element of ‘tough love’ at play. Read here 
  • Go First bankruptcy – a test of whether the country is ready to rebalance creditors’ rights and shareholders’ privilege. Read here 

  • Worsening expectations regarding a possible default would make significant disruptions in financial markets – If the debt ceiling binds, and the U.S. Treasury does not have the ability to pay its obligations, the negative economic effects would quickly mount and risk triggering a deep recession. Read here 

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Check out CAGRwealth smallcase portfolios here.  

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That’s it from our side. Have a great weekend ahead!

If you have any feedback that you would like to share, simply reply to this email.

The content of this newsletter is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information outlined in this newsletter unless mentioned explicitly. The writer may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated in this newsletter.

CAGR Insights – 19 May 2023

CAGR Insights is a weekly newsletter full of insights from around the world of web.

Index19-May-2312-May-23Change
Nifty 5018,20318,314-0.61%
Nifty 50015,40715,477-0.45%
Nifty Midcap 50 9,1769,1490.30%
Nifty Smallcap 1009,8919,8070.86%

Chart Ki Baat

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Here’s the list of curated readings for you this week:

Personal Finance

  • How to decide if you should opt for EPFO’s higher pension scheme or not? It remains Sophie’s choice. We analyse the EPFO guidelines with the help of an illustration. Read here. EPFO has now also come out with a calculator. Download here.
  • Global Asset Management Industry is currently facing multiple headwinds, as per a BCG report – Market performance has been responsible for 90% of revenue growth for last 15yrs, so if the market struggles, the industry can struggle. Alternative assets remain the only bright spot. Read here.
  • “Oh I definitely need to talk to you. It is a priority. But I am traveling, I will get back”. Being busy is not about work but about priorities and your finances need to be your priority.Read here.
  • Sebi proposes overhaul of expenses charged to mutual fund investors – The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) in a 40-page consultation paper has proposed a slew of changes to the total expense ratio (TER) that is charged to mutual fund investors. Read here.
  • “Advisor sahi hai” campaign is the need of hour – Sebi introduced the regulations to address the problem of inappropriate recommendations from wealth management professionals. However, more awareness needs to be created to boost demand for fee-based advisers and attract more quality people to the profession. Read here.

Investing

  • How to time the market? – Even though it may not be possible to time the peaks and troughs exactly, investors can take tactical advantage to reduce their probability of getting the timing exactly wrong and improve their chances of generating superior returns. SageOne Investor Memo -May2023
  • India could be the next big market for Starbucks – In India, the average person consumes ~18 cups of coffee per year. The coffee culture, like China (~9 cups per year) is in its infantile years. In markets like Thailand, Saudi, and the Philippines, coffee consumption stretches up into the hundreds of cups per year; they are established java addicts. Read here

Economy

  • EMs are leading the fight against dollar – Something other than inflation is driving this shift to gold, and emerging world central bankers are the likely answer. Why now? One reason is long burning dissatisfaction with dollar dominance, another is that the United States and its allies have increasingly weaponized the dollar, in the form of financial sanctions. Read here
  • RBI Dividends to Modi’s Government May Double, Aiding Fiscal Gap – The Reserve Bank of India board may decide to nearly double its dividend to the government from official estimates due to revaluation gains and profits from selling dollars, which could help bridge the fiscal deficit. Read here.
  • India’s monsoon rains, the lifeblood of the country’s economy, are likely to be delayed in 2023 and are forecast to hit the Kerala coast in the southwest on June 4, the state-run weather office said on Tuesday. Read here.
  • Why El Nino is a concern for Indian monsoon rains? – India’s weather office has forecast normal monsoon rainfall in 2023. However, a 90% likelihood of an El Nino weather pattern developing during the June-September monsoon season raises the possibility of less than normal rain. Read here.

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Check out CAGRwealth smallcase portfolios here.

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That’s it from our side. Have a great weekend ahead!

If you have any feedback that you would like to share, simply reply to this email.

The content of this newsletter is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information outlined in this newsletter unless mentioned explicitly. The writer may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated in this newsletter.

CAGR Insights – 12 May 2023

CAGR Insights is a weekly newsletter full of insights from around the world of web.

Index12-May-235-May-23Change
Nifty 5018,31418,0671.37%
Nifty 50015,47715,2771.31%
Nifty Midcap 50 9,1499,0351.26%
Nifty Smallcap 1009,8079,7330.76%

Chart Ki Baat

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Bazaar Ki Baat

A striking pattern – Buying right, but selling wrong.

In the 7th edition of the “Bazaar Ki Baat” series, we discuss a recent study that captures a striking pattern in the investment world – while Investors display clear skill in buying, their selling decisions underperform substantially.

We also talk about what led to the sharp rally in the Indian equity market in April.

Further, we show that even after the changes in debt tax rules, how debt funds score over FDs due to the deferment of taxes.

Do watch and follow our channel

Here’s the list of curated readings for you this week:

Personal Finance

  • How an obscure PPFAS morphed into India’s Berkshire Hathaway– ‘The way of the tortoise’ has seen the fund house grow 200 times its size and deliver a stunning 19% CAGR. Read here.
  • Finance is like fashion – Wait long enough and the same arguments come back in style. Read here.
  • Shruti shares her experience of interactions with millennials regarding their investment journey. Read here.
  • A vicious trap – Dig into any successful business and you’ll likely find two people: One who comes up with crazy ideas, and another who kills most of those ideas while giving the sensible ones a shot. Read here.

Investing

  • How investible is the Electrification theme?  – Close to 50% of the power being used by Industries across India is being served by captive power. Watch here
  • An investor’s edge – There are three competitive advantages as an investor: informational, analytical, and psychological. Of the three, only analytical and psychological are sustainable. Read here
  • Culture eats everything for breakfast – HDFC Bank CEO – The crux of our story is that we had a strategy which can be copied by anyone. We have a great set of people, which anyone can poach. We have technology, which people can buy, okay? But there is a certain culture which is unique to HDFC Bank. Culture which no one can replicate. That’s our execution capability. And that is what differentiates us from everyone else. Read here

Economy

  • Electric 2 wheelers leading the growth of EV in India, but infrastructure gap remains. – E2W sales grew by 188% in FY23 as compared to the previous year FY22.As of January 2023, India had 5,254 public electric vehicle (EV) charging stations, to cater to a total of 20.65 lakh EVs Read here.
  • Source says Credit Suisse India FX ops shut – Credit Suisse has shut foreign exchange operations in India, but other proprietary trading and client services have remained unaffected in the wake of its sale to UBS, an official familiar with the situation said. Read here.
  • Rs. 25 for a veg thali and Rs. 58 for a nonveg thali in India – An interesting indicator from CRISIL on the cost of Thali in India. Read here.

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Check out CAGRwealth smallcase portfolios here.

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That’s it from our side. Have a great weekend ahead!

If you have any feedback that you would like to share, simply reply to this email.

The content of this newsletter is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information outlined in this newsletter unless mentioned explicitly. The writer may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated in this newsletter.