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Frequent changes to your investment portfolio can be detrimental

The list of top performing stocks or mutual funds keeps changing frequently. This is of course obvious as the performance depends on various factors and some of these factors are not completely in control of the company’s management. Even good companies with sound management will face ups and downs. There is one obvious question that comes to every investor’s mind – Do we keep churning our portfolio frequently to exit the underperformer and buy the outperformer? My answer to this is overwhelming ‘No’. I believe churning of your portfolio too frequently will do more harm than good.

Let me try to explain further. During the last 15 years, Nifty (including dividend) has grown at an annual rate of 16.7%, to put it in simple terms, Rs. 100 invested 15 years back has now grown to more than 10 times. But, having said that, equity as an asset class is known to be volatile in short periods (see chart below). So, while investing in equity for short term may be tricky, the odds of making money in the long term are quite high.

Now, let us come back to ‘Power of Compounding’, which we had touched briefly in my last article (Read here). This has to be one of the most important financial lessons of all time. As the great Albert Einstein said “Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He, who understands it, earns it … he who doesn’t … pays it”.

Here, we will see how holding your portfolio for the long term helps power of compounding play its magic in the most unusual way. If you hold your portfolio for long term, the winners in your portfolio will tend to become dominant, and the losers will become insignificant. The positive impact of the winners will significantly outweigh the negative contribution and your portfolio will compound significantly. Not sure, right? I can understand your circumspection.

Let me explain this by taking a simple two stock portfolio. Stock ‘A’ is a winner, gives 25% annual return over a period of 15 years, while Stock ‘B’ is declining by 25% annually. How has your portfolio performed? I would say good, rather great. Your portfolio has given an annual return of 19.4%. This example demonstrates the power of compounding.

This magic can also work for you. You just have to be patient and give your money long enough time to grow.

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Planning to fail in your golden years?

Yet again, a discussion with few friends on a Sunday afternoon has brought me here today. We were discussing about our future plans and each one of us wanted to retire early and retire rich. No surprises there. What surprised me is that my friends only have a vague idea, no concrete plans about how they are going to achieve this goal. This is true for most of us. With rising cost of living and increasing life expectancy, the need to plan for one’s golden years is absolutely necessary.

Lack of a concrete plan for retirement may lead to problems just when you are least prepared for it. As one of the founding father of the United States, Benjamin Franklin, so succinctly put “If you fail to plan, you are planning to fail”.

Most of us tend to underestimate the retirement corpus. If you need Rs. 50,000 for monthly expenses today, will you need the same after 30 years, when you retire? The answer is no. You will need Rs. 2.2 lakhs every month, assuming just 5% inflation. There it is, now I have your attention. Inflation leads to reduction in purchasing power, by slowly but steadily eating up your money. Learn more about it here.

Let me tell you one more thing. With increasing life expectancy, the non-earning period in an individual’s life is expanding. Someone retiring at age 60 after working for 30 years could live on for another 25 years or more. Assuming your current age of 30 years, current monthly expense of Rs. 50,000, inflation of 5% and retirement age of 60 years, the amount of retirement corpus one needs for 25 years after retirement is Rs 5.3 cr and for 30 years after retirement is Rs. 6.1 crore. These are not small sums by any measure. If you do not start to plan now, there is a high probability to fall short.

Are you now thinking when to start investing for retirement? The answer is as EARLY as possible. If you do that, your money gets more time to grow. Each rupee gained generates further returns. This is called “power of compounding”, and this helps you get rich… and richer over time.

Let us take the above example, say you start investing at age of 30 years and continue to do so for next 30 years. To achieve a corpus of Rs. 5.3 cr at retirement, assuming 12% return on your investment, you will have to invest Rs. 15,391 per month. If you delay the investment by even 5 years, the same monthly installment doubles itself to Rs. 28,630.

Don’t feel overwhelmed by all the numbers shown above, you can take help from your financial advisor for this. The key is to start early, invest regularly and choose the right products for your investments.

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Are you making the best use of your bonus?

Ajay and Vijay are two IT professionals working for the same firm. Having completed one year in office, they are excited about the performance bonus that they are going to receive. Both of them worked really hard throughout the year and it is time they reap the benefits of their hard work.

On one such anxious day, they were hanging out in their break out zone and discussing the very obvious topic – their upcoming bonuses!

Ajay:  I just can’t wait for the year-end bonus. I have so many things planned once I receive it.

Vijay: Really? I have a couple of things in my list too. Seems like we share common interests. What is it that you have planned?

Ajay: I am going to buy a Macbook Air for myself. It has the most amazing features. I also planto  get my brother the new Play Station he has been craving for.

Vijay: Oh okay, so you intend to spend your entire bonus on these luxury items. Hmm. I was, however, planning on something different.

Ajay: (seemingly confused) what else can you possibly plan?

Vijay: I want to use my bonus to plan my finances better. My topmost priorities are:

1) Repay debts where interest is high

I have a personal loan on which I am paying 14% interest. It is leading to high interest expense and zero tax advantage. I cannot enjoy luxuries till I have such a high interest liability due. So, I would like to repay that first.

2) Build an Emergency Fund

Normally, an emergency fund is not something that should be made after receiving the bonus but since I have not built one so far, I will do it with a part of my bonus which will ideally be 4-5 times my monthly expenses. I will park this amount in a short term debt fund.

3) Invest for long term goals

I will park a portion of my bonus in a liquid fund and start a monthly investment into an equity fund from there. This will help me create wealth over the long run ad simultaneously earn modest returns in the liquid fund.

4) Spend on what’s needed, not on what’s wanted

I want to have a clear distinction between our needs and our wants. While everyone likes to spend money based on their interest, I want to be careful about not splurging it all away on unnecessary items.

Ajay: You seem to be very adept at money management my friend. I think I am having a change of mind now. How do I plan my bonus allocation better?

Vijay: Consult an expert financial advisor about how should you best allocate your bonus.  Everyone has different goals and preferences and a plan should be devised accordingly.

Ajay: Indeed. Thank you so much for delivering this mantra to me: spend wisely, save judiciously and invest smartly!!

How do we help?

At CAGRfunds, we help you devise a suitable investment plan for your bonus such that it contributes to your long term wealth creation.

If you have received your bonus and do not know how to make the best use of it, comment on this post or whatsapp us on +91 97693 56440. We shall be happy to help!

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As they hit the final IPL shot, let us take home a few key learnings!

India loves nothing more than its cricket. And cricket is best epitomized in the all exciting and our very own Indian Premier League. However, if we spare a thought, IPL is not just a game. The learnings that we can derive from IPL are applicable in multiple facets of life.

Let us see how you can takeaway 5 things that will help us manage your money better.

1. Balance your portfolio

T20 as a sport demonstrates how a team cannot harness dependency on a single player. A winning team is a combination of the right mix of bowlers, batsmen and all-rounders.

Likewise, a portfolio which is diversified across various asset classes is always preferable over one which focuses on a single asset class. Imagine you invest all your savings in that house you had always dreamt of. While you now own the place you stay in, you don’t know how to fund the medical emergency that has suddenly cropped up in the family. Hence, it is essential that you map your investments to various goals and create a balanced portfolio.

2. Start planning early

IPL teams start wracking their brains right from the day they have to pick their players: which players should be retained, what would be the best combination in the given budget, is the value of a player worth his cost?

Similarly, an early planning for investing is always worthwhile. Not only does it give us better control over our finances but also gives us substantial time to plan for our goals. It is therefore important to understand every step in financial planning before you actually start investing.

3. What’s hyped isn’t always the best

IPL-1 is a great reflection of the famous catchphrase ‘all that glitters is not gold’. With their multi-million dollar wallets, pundits betted on teams like Mumbai Indians and Delhi Daredevils. The season, however, ended with the shoestring-budgeted Rajasthan Royals taking the trophy home. People thought that a bigger budget meant winning the trophy. But if only it was that simple!

Hype can often be misleading. We often tend to fall prey to herd mentality. However, it is of utmost criticality that you decipher facts yourself and look at all the important statistics with the help of an expert.

4. Keep your calm: Don’t quit on a winning strategy

IPL-2015 – a case in point. Mumbai Indians lost the first four matches of the season and were at the bottom of the table. But they knew they had a winning mix. They chose to stick to their guns and treaded with caution and patience. Result – They brought the trophy back home.

So, if you know that you have a winning portfolio or a winning strategy, don’t quit! Don’t be bogged down by short term fluctuations and focus on the long term.

5. Some advice along the way always pays off

We have often seen the cricketing maestros contributing their bit in mentoring and guiding the players off the field.

Financial planning which is a highly knowledge driven domain, is better done when planned along with a financial advisor. While your current knowledge may seem to be sufficient and adequate, you might not be as aware of the latest developments or specific implications of different instruments and investment avenues. It therefore always pays off to consult an advisor before you take that big leap with your hard earned money.